MOSCOW, RUSSIA - JUNE 24, 2020: T-80BVM tanks drive down Vasilyevsky Spusk Square after a Victory Day military parade marking the 75th anniversary of the victory in World War II. Victory Day parades across Russia have been postponed from 9 May to 24 June due to restrictions imposed to prevent the spread of the novel coronavirus. Valery Sharifulin/TASS (Photo by Valery Sharifulin\TASS via Getty Images) Valery Sharifulin/TASS
Michael Peck, Forbes: These Are The Warning Signs If Russia Were About To Invade Belarus
Elite paratroopers placed on alert. A surge in military truck convoys and cargo flights.
These would be some of the signs that Russia is preparing to invade its neighbor Belarus.
To be clear, massive Russian military intervention in Belarus is not the most likely scenario. The Kremlin is clearly concerned by the turmoil in Belarus, where massive protests have erupted against president Alexander Lukashenko, who just won a sixth term in an election widely denounced as rigged. But occupying a European nation of 10 million people would be expensive economically and politically.
“Speculation that Russia would send military forces to defend Belarus skips several steps of other, more likely Russian support,” Dara Massicot, an analyst at U.S. think tank RAND, tells me. “Short of military police perhaps, Russian military forces are not the best tool at the Kremlin’s disposal to bolster the Lukashenko government. Tanks and other battlefield weapons are not suitable tools for riot suppression.”
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WNU Editor: I do not see a Russian military intervention in Belarus. What I see is a continuation of this policy .... Belarusians can cope with the situation in the country on their own - Lavrov (TASS).
