Commentaries, Analysis, and Editorials -- July 2, 2019

Reuters

Marco Carnelos, Middle East Eye: Dangerous escalation looms in US-Iran standoff

Although Trump seeks a new deal with Tehran, his tactics risk sparking a new war

The confrontation between the US and Iran risks ending up as a zero-sum game, with miscalculation or further escalation as the only possible, dangerous outcomes.

US President Donald Trump has no appetite for war, but he intends, through renewed sanctions, to force Iran back to the negotiating table and get a new and better nuclear deal than the one signed in 2015.

He believes that his unique negotiating skills - sharpened in Manhattan’s real-estate industry, and to which he also dedicated a book - will achieve this goal.

The problem is that in such a process he could wind up in a new conflict, rather than reaching a new deal.

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Commentaries, Analysis, and Editorials -- July 2, 2019

Know This: A U.S.-Iran War Would Not Be Fought Only in Iran -- Seth J. Frantzman, National Interest

Sino-US relations enter ‘new normal’ stage -- Zhang Jingwei, Asia Times

What's next for Hong Kong's pro-democracy movement? -- Casey Quackenbush, Al Jazeera

China Fears A Soviet-Style Collapse in Hong Kong -- Grant Newsham, National Interest

Hong Kong and Taiwan preview China's future -- Joseph Bosco, The Hill

Why Myanmar is losing the Rakhine war -- Anthony Davis, Asia Times

India staring at a water apocalypse -- Saikat Datta, Asia Times

The Indo-Pacific Is the New Asia -- Melissa Conley Tyler, Lowy Interpreter

What Is the US Coast Guard Doing in the Indo-Pacific? -- Jay Tristan Tarriela, Diplomat

Haftar-Turkey tensions risk proxy war in Libya -- AFP

A new cold war in Africa -- Mehari Taddele Maru, Al Jazeera

Trump-Putin Meeting: Where Does Russia Go from Here? -- Dimitri Alexander Simes, National Interest

Justin Trudeau vs. the world: How the next government can reclaim Canada’s place on the international stage -- Doug Saunders, Globe and Mail

How Long Can John Bolton Take This? -- Graeme Wood, The Atlantic

Trump’s Reluctance to Bomb Foreign Countries Is a Strength -- Andrew Bacevich, L.A. Times

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