Add John Zogby to the growing number of Democratic pollsters questioning major media surveys showing a double-digit lead by Joe Biden over President Trump.
“It’s closer than you think,” according to Zogby, who’s own John Zogby Strategies survey puts Biden’s lead at two points, 49%-47%.
In his latest podcast with son and pollster Jeremy Zogby, John Zogby said that polls showing a bigger Biden lead are using a bad model, one that includes far too many Democrats.
His model follows the partisan turnout in 2016 that was about 34% Republicans and about 38% Democrats.
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WNU Editor: I have commented more than once on how pollsters are heavily sampling Democrats. But I think this is all moot. I do not see Trump supporters staying home on election day because President Trump is behind in the polls. Republicans have signed-up a record number of new members this year, and I expect Republicans who did not vote for Trump in 2016 will be voting for him this year. Bottom line. Republicans are going to do far better than the 34% that they achieved in 2016. What I do not know is how motivated are Democrats to vote for Joe Biden. Voting for someone because you hate the other guy can only go so far.
