Commentaries, Analyisis, And Editorials -- January 1, 2017

The Guardian: Look to the future: what does 2018 have in store?

From news and politics to sport, culture and fashion, we preview the events likely to shape the year ahead

International affairs

Iran nuclear deal, 15 January

We should know by mid-January how serious Donald Trump is about seeking a confrontation with Iran over its nuclear programme. The US president refused in October to continue to certify the 2015 multilateral agreement under which Tehran accepted strict curbs on its activities in return for sanctions relief.

Trump said that either Congress or US allies should fix the “serious flaws” in the deal, or he would “terminate it. The Senate has since opted out of dealing with the matter, and Washington’s allies have insisted that the 2015 agreement cannot be renegotiated.

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Commentaries, Analyisis, And Editorials -- January 1, 2017

North Korea casts nuclear shadow over Asia's 2018 -- Justin McCurry in Tokyo, Benjamin Haas in Hong Kong and Michael Safi in Delhi , The Guardian

Bad to Worse: How Diplomatic Hopes With North Korea Plunged -- Matthew Pennington, RCD

North Korea: It's About America's Allies (or Should Be) -- Wallace C. Gregson, National Interest

When Gen. Douglas MacArthur Put the Hurt on North Korea -- James Warren, Daily Beast

Japan, a Pacifist in Name Only -- Phillip Orchard, Geopolitical Futures

Making China Great Again -- Evan Osnos, New Yorker

Its dreams of a caliphate are gone. Now Isis has a deadly new strategy -- Hassan Hassan, The Guardian

The GCC's arms race and the Iranian 'threat' -- Khalid Al-Jaber & Giorgio Cafiero, Al Jazeera

Will new tax spur economic reform in UAE, Saudi Arabia? -- Saba Aziz, Al Jazeera

The drive to recentralize Vietnam -- David Hutt, Asia Times

Thailand: will they stay or will they go? Thai history has not been kind to military leaders who overstay their welcome -- Shawn W. Crispin, Asia Times

6 European elections to watch this year -- Emma Anderson, Politico.eu

After Avoiding Impeachment, Can Peru’s Kuczynski Survive His Pardon of Fujimori? -- David Dudenhoefer, WPR

Looking ahead to 2018: Brazilian vote scheduled amid crisis -- John Holman, Al Jazeera

It's in America's National Interest to Stay in NAFTA -- Earl Anthony Wayne, National Interest

The Year American Hegemony Ended -- John R. Schindler

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